GILD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GILD - Gilead Sciences Inc

BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)
$141.95
2.40 (1.72%) ā–²
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 10, 2026 9d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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šŸ’”
Bottom Line:
šŸ“Š HOLD: GILD is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$168.42
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$104.57
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GILD is currently trading at $141.95, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $120.13 to $134.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.9) compared to its historical average (14.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GILD is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $142.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: GILD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $120.13 - $134.17
Company Quality Score 63/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 53.3%

Protect Your Profits

GILD is technically overbought (RSI 73). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.8% above fair value)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($136.75)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $120.13 - $134.17
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $122.10
Resistance Level $142.20
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.89
Wall Street Target $136.75 (-2.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 143.0%
Profit Margin 27.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.6% premium
PE vs Historical 15.9 vs 14.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $144.57 (+4%)
2-Year Target $149.78 (+7%)
3-Year Target $155.17 (+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→14) PE COMPRESSION $139.67 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.1%) $247.54 (+77%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.9, Growth: 8.1%) $176.35 (+26%)
Bear: (PE: 13.5, Growth: 8.1%) $149.89 (+7%)
šŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.46
Bull Case $208.99 (+47%)
Analyst growth 36.0%, PE expands to 23.8
Base Case $189.99 (+34%)
Market implied 36.0%, PE stable at 21.6
Bear Case $95.01 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 10:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:11 PM
šŸ”„ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Johanna Mercier SELL 3000 shares 2025-10-15
Andrew D Dickinson SELL 2500 shares 2025-10-15
Daniel Patrick O'day SELL 10000 shares 2025-09-29

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Advanced GILD Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GILD price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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