GNRC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GNRC - GENERAC HOLDINGS INC
$168.04
-1.97 (-1.16%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026
9d
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1 traders called GNRC this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GNRC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GNRC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$282.73
Based on 13.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$175.55
4.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GNRC is currently trading at $168.04, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $138.65 to $163.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.8) compared to its historical average (18.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNRC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $155.44, while resistance sits at $181.11.
Market Sentiment: GNRC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $202.94 (+20.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNRC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $155.44, while resistance sits at $181.11.
Market Sentiment: GNRC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $202.94 (+20.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$138.65 -
$163.38
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.8% below Wall St target ($202.94)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.9% growth with -5.0% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$138.65 -
$163.38
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$155.44
Resistance Level
$181.11
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.82
Wall Street Target
$202.94
(+20.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.7%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.9% premium
PE vs Historical
20.8 vs 18.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$174.59
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$181.40
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$188.48
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$168.41
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 23.4%)
$338.44
(+101%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.8, Growth: 23.4%)
$315.92
(+88%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.7, Growth: 23.4%)
$268.53
(+60%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.24
Bull Case
$295.15
(+76%)
Analyst growth 54.1%, PE expands to 36.6
Base Case
$268.32
(+60%)
Market implied 54.1%, PE stable at 33.2
Bear Case
$118.44
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 3:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GNRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Aaron Jagdfeld
SELL
5000 shares
2025-10-01
Aaron Jagdfeld
SELL
5000 shares
2025-09-02
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Advanced GNRC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GNRC price and gamma walls.
