GNW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GNW - Genworth Financial, Inc.
$9.61
0.06 (0.63%)
▲
5d:
+2.23%
30d:
+12.79%
90d:
+17.34%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GNW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GNW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.05
Based on -4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GNW is currently trading at $9.61, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.59 to $9.31. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 26.7) compared to its historical average (20.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.01. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GNW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.00 (+14.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.01. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GNW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.00 (+14.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$8.59 -
$9.31
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($11.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.5% growth with -0.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.59 -
$9.31
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.27
Resistance Level
$9.01
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.69
Wall Street Target
$11.00
(+14.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.4%
Profit Margin
3.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.5% premium
PE vs Historical
26.7 vs 20.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.43
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$11.31
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$12.27
(+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.61
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.7, Growth: -12.2%)
$7.01
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: -12.2%)
$5.72
(-41%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: -12.2%)
$4.86
(-49%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 18.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.52
Bull Case
$7.27
(-24%)
Analyst growth -30.8%, PE expands to 20.2
Base Case
$6.61
(-31%)
Market implied -30.8%, PE stable at 18.4
Bear Case
$6.49
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GNW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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