GO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GO - Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. Common Stock
$7.22
0.33 (4.79%)
▲
5d:
+1.12%
30d:
-17.86%
90d:
-28.51%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.18
Based on 13.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.18
11.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GO is currently trading at $7.22, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.82 to $8.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.8) is in line with its historical norms (11.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GO is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $7.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: GO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GO is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $7.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: GO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$5.82 -
$8.78
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.8%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($7.62)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with 10.7% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$5.82 -
$8.78
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.77
Resistance Level
$7.29
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.77
Wall Street Target
$7.62
(+5.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-50.7%
Profit Margin
-4.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
11.8 vs 11.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.25
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$7.28
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$7.31
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$7.20
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 22.6%)
$23.29
(+223%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: 22.6%)
$13.32
(+85%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 22.6%)
$11.32
(+57%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 03, 2026 4:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:58 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is GO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Erik D Ragatz
BUY
16003 shares
2026-03-17
Erik D Ragatz
BUY
100000 shares
2026-03-16
Luke D Thompson
SELL
3425 shares
2026-03-16
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