GO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GO - Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. Common Stock
$9.53
0.09 (0.95%)
▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.72
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.90
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GO is currently trading at $9.53, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.47 to $10.08. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.4) is in line with its historical norms (12.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.12 (+49.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.12 (+49.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$9.47 -
$10.08
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 49.5% below Wall St target ($14.12)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$9.47 -
$10.08
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.25
Resistance Level
$10.09
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.40
Wall Street Target
$14.12
(+49.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-50.7%
Profit Margin
-0.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.4 vs 12.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.26
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$9.08
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$8.91
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$9.46
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 5.8%)
$21.85
(+131%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 5.8%)
$11.17
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 5.8%)
$9.50
(+1%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.4 to 12.1
Stabilization Target:
$10.02
(+6.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.1%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 12:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Steven K Wilson
SELL
5000 shares
2025-08-15
Steven K Wilson
SELL
20000 shares
2025-08-08
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Advanced GO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GO price and gamma walls.
