DNUT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DNUT - Krispy Kreme, Inc. Common Stock

RETAIL-FOOD STORES
$3.16
-0.07 (-2.17%) ▼
5d: -6.51%
30d: -12.47%
90d: +8.22%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

DNUT is down 10.8% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $4 2026-06-18 with 378 OI. Call ratio: 69% View Scanner →

Strength: 7.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DNUT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DNUT is currently trading at $3.16, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.33 to $3.87. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 60.5) compared to its historical average (78.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DNUT is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.35 (+34.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $3.33 - $3.87
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 34.7% below Wall St target ($4.35)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.5% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $3.33 - $3.87
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $3.14
Resistance Level $4.09
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of May 18, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 60.49
Wall Street Target $4.35 (+34.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -2.2%
Profit Margin -33.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -8.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 60.5 vs 78.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -8.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $2.97 (-8%)
2-Year Target $2.72 (-16%)
3-Year Target $2.50 (-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 60→78) $3.23 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 60.5, Growth: 153.1%) $10.90 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 153.1%) $3.98 (+23%)
Bear: (PE: 18.8, Growth: 153.1%) $3.38 (+5%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 60.5 to 78.2
Stabilization Target: $4.18 (+29.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +29.3%
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Last updated: May 18, 2026 3:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:48 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Tim Moore SELL 2026-03-17
Tim Moore BUY 2026-02-12

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Advanced DNUT Option Strategies

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