Is GOOS stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, GOOS is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: GOOS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of GOOS stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for GOOS to be between $12.47 and $13.50. The current price is $12.16.

What is the analyst price target for GOOS?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for GOOS is $11.40. This implies a potential upside of -7.8% from current levels.

GOOS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GOOS - Canada Goose Holdings Inc.

Apparel & Other Finishd Prods of Fabrics & Similar Matl

$12.16

-0.20 (-1.62%) ▼

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

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Last Updated: January 30, 2026

Earnings: Feb 05, 2026 4d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GOOS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 18.6%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$23.52

Based on 11.3% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$14.60

16.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GOOS is currently trading at $12.16, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.47 to $13.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.2) compared to its historical average (17.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 536.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GOOS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: GOOS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (10th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Fair Price Range $12.47 - $13.50

Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)

Options IV Signal 10th percentile (LOW)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 59.6%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 10th percentile)
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($11.40)
CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.3%) - monitor closely

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $12.47 - $13.50

Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.86 (7.1%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $12.00

Resistance Level $13.25

Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.18

Wall Street Target $11.40 (-7.8%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.8%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 536.6%

Profit Margin 1.9%

Valuation Discount vs History -3.7% cheaper

PE vs Historical 15.2 vs 17.0 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -3.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $11.90 (-4%)

2-Year Target $11.46 (-7%)

3-Year Target $11.04 (-11%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→17) $12.36 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 18.6%) $30.31 (+145%)

Base: (SPY PE: 15.2, Growth: 18.6%) $20.63 (+67%)

Bear: (PE: 12.9, Growth: 18.6%) $17.53 (+42%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Forward PE: 10.24 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.19

Bull Case $14.68 (+21%)

Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.8

Base Case $12.16 (0%)

Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.2

Bear Case $9.30 (-24%)

Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.2

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.2 to 17.0

Stabilization Target: $13.84 (+12.0%)

PE Expansion Potential: +12.0%

Last updated: January 31, 2026 7:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:37 AM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced GOOS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GOOS price and gamma walls.

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More Analysis for GOOS

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Canada Goose Holdings Inc.

Apparel & Other Finishd Prods of Fabrics & Similar Matl

About

Canada Goose Holdings Inc is a Canada-based company that designs, manufactures, distributes, and retails premium outerwear for men, women, and children. It operates business through three segments namely, Wholesale and Direct to Consumer (DTC), Other. The DTC segment, which is the key revenue driver, comprises sales through country-specific e-commerce platforms and its company-owned retail stores located in luxury shopping locations. The Wholesale segment comprises sales made to a mix of retailers and international distributors, who are partners that have exclusive rights to an entire market, and travel retail locations. Geographically, it has a presence in Canada, the United States, North America, Greater China, Asia, and Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.

Exchange: XNYS

Market Cap: $1,370,600,894

Employees: 4,429

Listed Since: 2017-03-16

Website: Visit

CIK: 0001690511

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