VFC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VFC - V.F. Corporation
$16.68
-0.60 (-3.47%)
▼
5d:
-12.12%
30d:
-17.1%
90d:
-17.83%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 20, 2026
1d
Smart Money Accumulation
VFC is down 11.7% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $20 2026-06-18 with 1,992 OI. Call ratio: 72% View Scanner →
Strength: 8.1/10
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1 traders called VFC this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: VFC is down 12.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: VFC is down 12.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.25
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.13
27.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VFC is currently trading at $16.68, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.53 to $20.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.8) compared to its historical average (18.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 78.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VFC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.76 (+24.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VFC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.76 (+24.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$17.53 -
$20.19
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding VFC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 24.5% below Wall St target ($20.76)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.1% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.53 -
$20.19
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.05
Resistance Level
$19.71
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.78
Wall Street Target
$20.76
(+24.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
78.1%
Profit Margin
5.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.8 vs 18.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.93
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$15.21
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$14.53
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→18)
$16.66
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 26.4%)
$47.13
(+183%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.8, Growth: 26.4%)
$33.70
(+102%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.4, Growth: 26.4%)
$28.65
(+72%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.57
Bull Case
$35.24
(+111%)
Analyst growth 85.4%, PE expands to 33.4
Base Case
$32.04
(+92%)
Market implied 85.4%, PE stable at 30.3
Bear Case
$11.75
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.8 to 18.1
Stabilization Target:
$19.13
(+14.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 5:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VFC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Juliana L Chugg
SELL
6678 shares
2026-02-10
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Advanced VFC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VFC price and gamma walls.
