GPN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GPN - Global Payments, Inc.
$66.80
0.90 (1.37%)
▲
5d:
-5.99%
30d:
-12.63%
90d:
-16.86%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
GPN is down 3.7% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $100 2026-05-15 with 7,397 OI. Call ratio: 85% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GPN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GPN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$139.33
Based on 10.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$86.52
22.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GPN is currently trading at $66.80, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.47 to $78.62. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.1) compared to its historical average (5.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $66.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GPN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $100.80 (+53.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $66.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GPN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $100.80 (+53.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$69.47 -
$78.62
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GPN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 53.0% below Wall St target ($100.80)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.0%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$69.47 -
$78.62
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$66.83
Resistance Level
$73.21
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.06
Wall Street Target
$100.80
(+53.0%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-59.2%
Profit Margin
18.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.1 vs 5.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$60.63
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$55.78
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$51.32
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→5)
$65.71
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 17.3%)
$587.17
(+791%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.1, Growth: 17.3%)
$106.45
(+62%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.5, Growth: 17.3%)
$90.48
(+37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.43
Bull Case
$150.70
(+112%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 17.0
Base Case
$137.00
(+93%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 15.5
Bear Case
$46.58
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.1 to 5.2
Stabilization Target:
$84.39
(+28.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 9:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:57 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GPN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-17
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-23
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GPN price and gamma walls.