GPN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GPN - Global Payments, Inc.
$71.74
0.39 (0.55%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GPN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GPN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$114.12
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$70.86
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GPN is currently trading at $71.74, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $73.62 to $79.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.2) is in line with its historical norms (5.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 113.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $70.22. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GPN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.54 (+42.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $70.22. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GPN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.54 (+42.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$73.62 -
$79.59
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GPN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 42.3% below Wall St target ($101.54)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$73.62 -
$79.59
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.22
Resistance Level
$76.47
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.19
Wall Street Target
$101.54
(+42.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
113.1%
Profit Margin
17.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.2 vs 5.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$69.42
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$67.55
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$65.73
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→6)
$70.86
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 12.5%)
$435.60
(+511%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.2, Growth: 12.5%)
$101.46
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.4, Growth: 12.5%)
$86.24
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.59
Bull Case
$158.42
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 12.0
Base Case
$144.02
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 10.9
Bear Case
$48.97
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.2 to 5.6
Stabilization Target:
$76.92
(+7.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.8%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 7:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GPN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2025-09-05
Dara L Steele-Belkin
SELL
2000 shares
2025-08-07
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GPN price and gamma walls.