GPOR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GPOR - Gulfport Energy Corporation

CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS
$212.17
-4.25 (-1.96%) β–Ό
5d: +2.29%
30d: +1.68%
90d: +0.95%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ’‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: GPOR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.0% growth. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$332.44
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$206.42
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GPOR is currently trading at $212.17, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $197.33 to $211.03. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.6) is in line with its historical norms (7.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GPOR is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $193.75, while resistance sits at $220.82.

Market Sentiment: GPOR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $240.31 (+11.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $197.33 - $211.03
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 67.3%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($240.31)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $197.33 - $211.03
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$9.93 (4.7%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $193.75
Resistance Level $220.83
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Mar 27, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.61
Wall Street Target $240.31 (+11.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 25.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -89.8%
Profit Margin 32.9%
PE vs Historical 7.6 vs 7.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): 0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $216.42 (0%)
2-Year Target $216.42 (0%)
3-Year Target $216.42 (0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8β†’8) PE COMPRESSION $216.15 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 14.1%) $947.19 (+338%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: 14.1%) $321.77 (+49%)
Bear: (PE: 6.5, Growth: 14.1%) $273.51 (+26%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $21.48
Bull Case $300.72 (+45%)
Analyst growth 33.4%, PE expands to 10.5
Base Case $273.38 (+32%)
Market implied 33.4%, PE stable at 9.5
Bear Case $139.35 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:14 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Silver Point Capital L.P. SELL 84416 shares 2026-03-03
Michael L Hodges SELL 16769 shares 2026-03-02
Michael Sluiter SELL 9933 shares 2026-03-02

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