GSBD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GSBD - Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc.
$8.76
-0.12 (-1.35%)
▼
5d:
-4.99%
30d:
-4.47%
90d:
-9.03%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
Get Alerted When GSBD Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GSBD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GSBD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.84
Based on 0.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.49
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GSBD is currently trading at $8.76, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.01 to $9.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.4) is in line with its historical norms (7.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GSBD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GSBD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GSBD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GSBD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$9.01 -
$9.28
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($9.12)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$9.01 -
$9.28
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.69
Resistance Level
$9.38
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.37
Wall Street Target
$9.13
(+4.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-17.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-34.7%
Profit Margin
32.6%
PE vs Historical
7.4 vs 7.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.76
(0%)
2-Year Target
$8.76
(0%)
3-Year Target
$8.76
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
$8.79
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: -3.7%)
$23.69
(+171%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.4, Growth: -3.7%)
$7.82
(-11%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.3, Growth: -3.7%)
$6.64
(-24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.03
Bull Case
$11.47
(+24%)
Analyst growth 15.3%, PE expands to 9.7
Base Case
$10.43
(+13%)
Market implied 15.3%, PE stable at 8.8
Bear Case
$6.15
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 3:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GSBD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Asset Management Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Asset Management by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
KKR
KKR & Co LP |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$137 | 61 BUY |
|
BLK
BlackRock Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$1321 | 61 BUY |
|
APO
Apollo Global Management… |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$155 | 63 BUY |
|
CRBG
Corebridge Financial Inc. |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$37 | 61 BUY |
|
ARCC
Ares Capital Corporation |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$22 | 59 HOLD |