GTES Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GTES - Gates Industrial Corporation plc
$23.02
-0.46 (-1.96%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GTES shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GTES shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.62
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.15
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GTES is currently trading at $23.02, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.98 to $23.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.5) is in line with its historical norms (13.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTES is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $22.16, while resistance sits at $23.97.
Market Sentiment: GTES has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.17 (+18.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTES is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $22.16, while resistance sits at $23.97.
Market Sentiment: GTES has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.17 (+18.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$21.98 -
$23.13
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($27.17)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$21.98 -
$23.13
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.16
Resistance Level
$23.97
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.54
Wall Street Target
$27.17
(+18.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
72.4%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
14.5 vs 13.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.43
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$23.86
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$24.29
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.06
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 5.6%)
$41.60
(+81%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: 5.6%)
$27.12
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 5.6%)
$23.05
(+0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.91
Bull Case
$43.95
(+91%)
Analyst growth 74.0%, PE expands to 27.8
Base Case
$39.96
(+74%)
Market implied 74.0%, PE stable at 25.2
Bear Case
$15.61
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 4:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GTES showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael T. McCaul
SELL
2025-08-21
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Advanced GTES Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GTES price and gamma walls.
