GTN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GTN - Gray Media, Inc.
$4.51
0.22 (5.13%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GTN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GTN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.57
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.08
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GTN is currently trading at $4.51, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.32 to $4.81. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 1.5) is in line with its historical norms (1.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1016.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.16, while resistance sits at $4.70. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: GTN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.40 (+49.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.16, while resistance sits at $4.70. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: GTN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.40 (+49.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$4.32 -
$4.81
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GTN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 49.2% below Wall St target ($6.40)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$4.32 -
$4.81
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.16
Resistance Level
$4.70
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.46
Wall Street Target
$6.40
(+49.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-21.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1016.4%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.5 vs 1.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.20
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$4.11
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$4.03
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→2)
$4.40
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.43
Bull Case
$9.26
(+105%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 10.8
Base Case
$8.42
(+87%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 9.8
Bear Case
$2.86
(-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.5 to 1.6
Stabilization Target:
$4.69
(+9.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.3%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:02 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is GTN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard Lee Boger
SELL
20000 shares
2025-09-09
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Advanced GTN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GTN price and gamma walls.
