NXST Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NXST - Nexstar Media Group, Inc. Common Stock
$182.78
1.69 (0.93%)
▲
5d:
+11.45%
30d:
+0.69%
90d:
+1.33%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 6, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NXST shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NXST shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$109.66
Based on -12.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.09
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NXST is currently trading at $182.78, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $166.88 to $182.41. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.5) compared to its historical average (9.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 51.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NXST is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $175.84, while resistance sits at $190.81.
Market Sentiment: NXST has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $251.62 (+37.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NXST is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $175.84, while resistance sits at $190.81.
Market Sentiment: NXST has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $251.62 (+37.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$166.88 -
$182.41
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.7% below Wall St target ($251.62)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$166.88 -
$182.41
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$175.84
Resistance Level
$190.81
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.55
Wall Street Target
$251.63
(+37.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
51.0%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.6 vs 9.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$170.35
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$158.77
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$147.97
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$182.23
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -29.2%)
$384.31
(+110%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: -29.2%)
$133.25
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.4, Growth: -29.2%)
$113.26
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.73
Bull Case
$402.12
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 42.5
Base Case
$365.56
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 38.6
Bear Case
$124.29
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.6 to 9.3
Stabilization Target:
$225.10
(+23.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 06, 2026 7:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NXST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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