H Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
H - Hyatt Hotels Corporation
$139.95
-2.36 (-1.66%)
▼
5d:
-3.84%
30d:
-13.34%
90d:
-15.54%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: H trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -9.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: H trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -9.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$223.88
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$139.01
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: H is currently trading at $139.95, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $143.06 to $163.18. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 30.4) compared to its historical average (41.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, H is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $140.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $182.79 (+30.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, H is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $140.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $182.79 (+30.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$143.06 -
$163.18
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.6% below Wall St target ($182.79)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$143.06 -
$163.18
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$7.12
(5.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$140.44
Resistance Level
$150.62
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.43
Wall Street Target
$182.79
(+30.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-96.1%
Profit Margin
-1.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
30.4 vs 41.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$126.65
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$114.62
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$103.73
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→41)
$140.10
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.4, Growth: 36.0%)
$352.29
(+152%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 36.0%)
$258.72
(+85%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 36.0%)
$219.92
(+57%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 30.4 to 41.1
Stabilization Target:
$189.01
(+35.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+35.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 6:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is H showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Javier Aguila
SELL
9548 shares
2025-12-23
David Udell
SELL
4300 shares
2025-11-26
David Udell
SELL
3010 shares
2025-11-10
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