HASI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HASI - HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc.

INVESTORS, NEC
$34.41
-0.72 (-2.05%) β–Ό
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026 12d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
βœ… BUY SIGNAL: HASI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.12
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.02
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HASI is currently trading at $34.41, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.38 to $34.44. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.0) is in line with its historical norms (11.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HASI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.16. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: HASI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.40 (+15.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range $32.38 - $34.44
Company Quality Score 63/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.6%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($40.40)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $32.38 - $34.44
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$1.74 (5.0%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $33.29
Resistance Level $35.16
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.97
Wall Street Target $40.40 (+15.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 33.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 220.8%
Profit Margin 309.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.1% premium
PE vs Historical 12.0 vs 11.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $35.87 (+2%)
2-Year Target $36.62 (+4%)
3-Year Target $37.39 (+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12β†’11) PE COMPRESSION $34.99 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 9.1%) $84.95 (+142%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 9.1%) $45.59 (+30%)
Bear: (PE: 10.2, Growth: 9.1%) $38.75 (+10%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.32
Bull Case $47.85 (+36%)
Analyst growth 26.5%, PE expands to 16.3
Base Case $43.50 (+24%)
Market implied 26.5%, PE stable at 14.8
Bear Case $23.38 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced HASI Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HASI price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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