HASI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HASI - HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc.
$36.48
0.15 (0.41%)
▲
5d:
+0.39%
30d:
-0.11%
90d:
+10.92%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
HASI is down 4.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $40 2026-05-15 with 510 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HASI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HASI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.48
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.58
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HASI is currently trading at $36.48, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.84 to $37.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.2) is in line with its historical norms (11.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 220.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HASI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $37.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.47 (+22.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HASI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $37.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.47 (+22.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$35.84 -
$37.38
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.4% below Wall St target ($44.47)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$35.84 -
$37.38
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.10
Resistance Level
$37.34
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.19
Wall Street Target
$44.47
(+22.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
220.8%
Profit Margin
192.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.2 vs 11.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.11
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$35.90
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$35.68
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
$36.36
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 10.5%)
$98.23
(+170%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: 10.5%)
$49.06
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 10.5%)
$41.70
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.41
Bull Case
$78.36
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 27.8
Base Case
$71.24
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 25.3
Bear Case
$24.22
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.2 to 11.4
Stabilization Target:
$37.02
(+1.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HASI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeffrey Eckel
SELL
134398 shares
2026-02-17
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Advanced HASI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HASI price and gamma walls.
