HAYW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HAYW - Hayward Holdings, Inc.
$13.90
0.10 (0.72%)
▲
5d:
-5.89%
30d:
-5.05%
90d:
-15.86%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
HAYW is down 8.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $15 2026-06-18 with 4,000 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HAYW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HAYW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.60
Based on 7.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.65
5.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HAYW is currently trading at $13.90, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.12 to $15.31. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.6) compared to its historical average (17.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 79.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HAYW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.57. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.21 (+23.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HAYW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.57. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.21 (+23.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$14.12 -
$15.31
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HAYW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.8% below Wall St target ($17.21)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.9% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.12 -
$15.31
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.57
Resistance Level
$15.27
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.61
Wall Street Target
$17.21
(+23.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
79.1%
Profit Margin
14.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 17.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.14
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$12.41
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$11.73
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→17)
$13.89
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 11.0%)
$28.68
(+106%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 11.0%)
$19.01
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 11.0%)
$16.16
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.73
Bull Case
$20.18
(+45%)
Analyst growth 30.3%, PE expands to 21.2
Base Case
$18.35
(+32%)
Market implied 30.3%, PE stable at 19.3
Bear Case
$9.57
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.6 to 17.3
Stabilization Target:
$16.46
(+18.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 8:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HAYW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kevin Holleran
SELL
52389 shares
2026-04-01
Eifion Jones
SELL
15000 shares
2026-03-09
Kevin Holleran
SELL
52389 shares
2026-03-02
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Advanced HAYW Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HAYW price and gamma walls.
