HCKT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HCKT - Hackett Group Inc (The).
$9.58
0.35 (3.85%)
▲
5d:
-16.08%
30d:
-30.06%
90d:
-30.62%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HCKT is down 16.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HCKT is down 16.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.96
Based on 7.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.64
29.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HCKT is currently trading at $9.57, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.17 to $13.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.8) compared to its historical average (9.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 54.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HCKT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.15, while resistance sits at $14.14. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: HCKT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.67 (+84.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HCKT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.15, while resistance sits at $14.14. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: HCKT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.67 (+84.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$11.17 -
$13.99
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 84.5% below Wall St target ($17.67)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -16.1% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.17 -
$13.99
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.16
Resistance Level
$14.14
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.75
Wall Street Target
$17.67
(+84.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-11.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
54.5%
Profit Margin
4.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.8 vs 9.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.62
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$7.76
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$6.98
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→9)
$11.17
(+17%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 11.0%)
$50.19
(+424%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.8, Growth: 11.0%)
$13.10
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.9, Growth: 11.0%)
$11.13
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.47
Bull Case
$20.28
(+112%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 21.6
Base Case
$18.44
(+93%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 19.6
Bear Case
$6.27
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.8 to 9.2
Stabilization Target:
$15.32
(+60.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+60.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 2:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HCKT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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