HDSN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HDSN - Hudson Technologies Inc
$5.84
0.05 (0.86%)
▲
5d:
-6.11%
30d:
-17.75%
90d:
-14.74%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
HDSN is down 7.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $6 2026-04-17 with 20 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 8.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HDSN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HDSN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.96
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.18
5.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HDSN is currently trading at $5.84, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.74 to $6.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.0) compared to its historical average (15.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 58.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HDSN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.63, while resistance sits at $6.36.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+54.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HDSN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.63, while resistance sits at $6.36.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+54.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$5.74 -
$6.85
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HDSN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 54.1% below Wall St target ($9.00)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.1% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$5.74 -
$6.85
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.40
(6.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.64
Resistance Level
$6.36
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.98
Wall Street Target
$9.00
(+54.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
58.8%
Profit Margin
6.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.0 vs 15.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.51
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$5.20
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$4.91
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$5.83
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 11.1%)
$12.70
(+117%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.0, Growth: 11.1%)
$8.01
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: 11.1%)
$6.81
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.37
Bull Case
$7.77
(+29%)
Analyst growth 21.6%, PE expands to 17.3
Base Case
$7.07
(+18%)
Market implied 21.6%, PE stable at 15.7
Bear Case
$3.95
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.0 to 15.4
Stabilization Target:
$6.93
(+18.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 5:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HDSN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Vincent P Abbatecola
BUY
3500 shares
2025-11-17
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Advanced HDSN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HDSN price and gamma walls.
