HELE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HELE - Helen Of Troy Ltd
$16.56
-0.14 (-0.84%)
▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 14, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HELE trades at premium valuation expecting 7.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: HELE trades at premium valuation expecting 7.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.99
Based on 0.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.69
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HELE is currently trading at $16.56, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.70 to $20.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 4.9) compared to its historical average (4.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HELE is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.00 (+67.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HELE is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.00 (+67.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$18.70 -
$20.99
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HELE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 67.7% below Wall St target ($28.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.6% growth which is achievable
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.5% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$18.70 -
$20.99
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.29
Resistance Level
$19.80
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.94
Wall Street Target
$28.00
(+67.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.9%
Profit Margin
-44.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.6% premium
PE vs Historical
4.9 vs 4.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.97
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$19.33
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$20.80
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→4)
PE COMPRESSION
$16.85
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -2.6%)
$69.70
(+317%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.9, Growth: -2.6%)
$15.43
(-8%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.0, Growth: -2.6%)
$12.50
(-25%)
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HELE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HELE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HELE price and gamma walls.
