HESM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HESM - Hess Midstream LP Class A Share representing a limited partner Interest
$35.47
-0.57 (-1.58%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 02, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HESM is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: HESM is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.07
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.03
13.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HESM is currently trading at $35.47, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.90 to $35.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.6) is in line with its historical norms (12.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HESM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $34.31, while resistance sits at $36.60.
Market Sentiment: HESM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HESM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $34.31, while resistance sits at $36.60.
Market Sentiment: HESM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$33.90 -
$35.30
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HESM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($36.83)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$33.90 -
$35.30
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.31
Resistance Level
$36.60
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.60
Wall Street Target
$36.83
(+2.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.0%
Profit Margin
20.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
13.6 vs 12.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.76
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$37.50
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$38.25
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$36.01
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 41.7%)
$59.85
(+66%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 41.7%)
$36.49
(+1%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: 41.7%)
$31.02
(-14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 12.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.81
Bull Case
$37.34
(+5%)
Analyst growth -5.7%, PE expands to 14.1
Base Case
$33.95
(-4%)
Market implied -5.7%, PE stable at 12.8
Bear Case
$24.47
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 11:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HESM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John A. Gatling
SELL
62457 shares
2025-08-12
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Advanced HESM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HESM price and gamma walls.
