HI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HI - Hillenbrand, Inc.
$31.91
0.02 (0.06%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.55
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.66
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HI is currently trading at $31.91, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.72 to $31.87. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.3) is in line with its historical norms (12.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 421.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $31.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $31.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$31.72 -
$31.87
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($32.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$31.72 -
$31.87
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.81
Resistance Level
$31.93
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.27
Wall Street Target
$32.00
(+0.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-22.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
421.7%
Profit Margin
1.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.3 vs 12.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.41
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$30.94
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$30.48
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$32.05
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 7.7%)
$72.35
(+127%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 7.7%)
$39.79
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 7.7%)
$33.83
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 9.01 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.54
Bull Case
$38.53
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 9.5
Base Case
$31.91
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 9.0
Bear Case
$24.41
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 8.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.3 to 12.9
Stabilization Target:
$33.54
(+5.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.2%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HI price and gamma walls.
