HIMS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HIMS - Hims & Hers Health, Inc.

SERVICES-OFFICES & CLINICS OF DOCTORS OF MEDICINE
$20.74
1.96 (10.41%) ▲
5d: -2.83%
30d: +25.82%
90d: -39.19%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your HIMS Gains
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

HIMS is down 5.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $20 2026-04-17 with 1,535 OI. Call ratio: 67% View Scanner →

Strength: 4.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HIMS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.46
Based on 14.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.92
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HIMS is currently trading at $20.74, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.15 to $23.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 29.4) compared to its historical average (41.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HIMS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $18.62, while resistance sits at $25.04. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 10.4% recently.

Market Sentiment: HIMS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.15 (+28.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $16.15 - $23.55
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 54.8%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+10.4%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 28.6% below Wall St target ($24.15)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $16.15 - $23.55
Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $18.62
Resistance Level $25.04
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Mar 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 29.39
Wall Street Target $24.15 (+28.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 28.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -17.4%
Profit Margin 5.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -11.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 29.4 vs 41.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -11.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $16.90 (-10%)
2-Year Target $15.21 (-19%)
3-Year Target $13.69 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 29→42) $19.52 (+4%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 29.4, Growth: 24.0%) $35.77 (+91%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 24.0%) $27.20 (+45%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 24.0%) $23.12 (+23%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 43.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.51
Bull Case $30.96 (+38%)
Analyst growth 27.8%, PE expands to 47.5
Base Case $28.14 (+25%)
Market implied 27.8%, PE stable at 43.2
Bear Case $14.97 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 29.4 to 41.9
Stabilization Target: $26.77 (+42.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +42.6%
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Last updated: March 31, 2026 1:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:35 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
19
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael Chi SELL 97289 shares 2026-03-17
Soleil Boughton SELL 4812 shares 2026-03-17
Irene Becklund SELL 5529 shares 2026-03-17

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Advanced HIMS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HIMS price and gamma walls.

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