HIMS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HIMS - Hims & Hers Health, Inc.

SERVICES-OFFICES & CLINICS OF DOCTORS OF MEDICINE
$27.09
-2.78 (-9.31%) ▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 23, 2026 21d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HIMS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.55
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.97
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HIMS is currently trading at $27.09, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.81 to $34.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 43.2) compared to its historical average (52.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HIMS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.87. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: HIMS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.62 (+53.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $29.81 - $34.37
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 52.4%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-9.3%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 53.6% below Wall St target ($41.62)
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-8.5%) - monitor closely

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $29.81 - $34.37
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $26.87
Resistance Level $31.82
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 43.16
Wall Street Target $41.62 (+53.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 49.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -80.3%
Profit Margin 6.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -6.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 43.2 vs 52.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -6.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $25.38 (-6%)
2-Year Target $23.78 (-12%)
3-Year Target $22.29 (-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 43→52) $27.05 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 43.2, Growth: 30.9%) $60.78 (+124%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 30.9%) $31.40 (+16%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 30.9%) $26.69 (-2%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (54x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (43x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 54.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.53
Bull Case $37.34 (+38%)
Analyst growth 18.4%, PE expands to 59.5
Base Case $33.95 (+25%)
Market implied 18.4%, PE stable at 54.1
Bear Case $19.50 (-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 46.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 43.2 to 52.4
Stabilization Target: $32.89 (+21.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +21.4%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 11:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:14 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Oluyemi Okupe SELL 11592 shares 2025-10-17
Soleil Boughton SELL 2637 shares 2025-10-13
Michael Chi SELL 900 shares 2025-10-10

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Advanced HIMS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HIMS price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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