HIMX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HIMX - Himax Technologies, Inc.

Semiconductors & Related Devices
$7.48
-0.61 (-7.54%) β–Ό
5d: -13.82%
30d: +2.75%
90d: -10.42%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

HIMX is down 5.8% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $11 2026-06-18 with 4,109 OI. Call ratio: 84% View Scanner →

Strength: 6.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HIMX is down 13.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.76
Based on -3.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.20
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HIMX is currently trading at $7.48, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.41 to $9.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.6) is in line with its historical norms (17.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HIMX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.05 (+21.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $7.41 - $9.10
Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.5%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 21.0% below Wall St target ($9.05)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -13.8% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $7.41 - $9.10
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $7.46
Resistance Level $9.90
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.62
Wall Street Target $9.05 (+21.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -14.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -74.4%
Profit Margin 5.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 16.6 vs 17.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $7.33 (-2%)
2-Year Target $7.18 (-4%)
3-Year Target $7.04 (-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17β†’18) $7.45 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: -10.0%) $7.33 (+-2%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.6, Growth: -10.0%) $5.45 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 14.1, Growth: -10.0%) $4.63 (-38%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.25
Bull Case $17.01 (+96%)
Analyst growth 80.0%, PE expands to 37.8
Base Case $15.46 (+78%)
Market implied 80.0%, PE stable at 34.4
Bear Case $5.84 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.6 to 17.6
Stabilization Target: $7.92 (+5.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +5.9%
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Last updated: March 31, 2026 3:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:41 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced HIMX Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HIMX price and gamma walls.

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