HIW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HIW - Highwoods Properties Inc.

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$25.47
-0.74 (-2.82%) ▼
5d: +0.2%
30d: +10.31%
90d: +10.16%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your HIW Gains
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

HIW is up 3.4% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $25 2026-06-18 with 4 OI. Put ratio: 100% View Scanner →

Strength: 6.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HIW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.69
Based on 14.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.78
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HIW is currently trading at $25.47, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.69 to $25.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 34.5) compared to its historical average (39.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HIW is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $24.34, while resistance sits at $26.93.

Market Sentiment: HIW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $22.69 - $25.38
Company Quality Score 63/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($26.22)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $22.69 - $25.38
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $24.34
Resistance Level $26.93
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 34.49
Wall Street Target $26.22
Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -68.5%
Profit Margin 11.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 34.5 vs 39.3 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $25.08 (-4%)
2-Year Target $24.00 (-8%)
3-Year Target $22.97 (-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 34→39) $26.18 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 34.5, Growth: 24.6%) $50.69 (+93%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 24.6%) $32.39 (+24%)
Bear: (PE: 18.7, Growth: 24.6%) $27.54 (+5%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 31.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.83
Bull Case $26.23 (+0%)
Analyst growth -8.4%, PE expands to 34.5
Base Case $23.84 (-9%)
Market implied -8.4%, PE stable at 31.4
Bear Case $17.71 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 34.5 to 39.3
Stabilization Target: $29.87 (+14.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +14.0%
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 4:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:08 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced HIW Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HIW price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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