HLIO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLIO - Helios Technologies, Inc.
$68.33
3.62 (5.59%)
ā²
5d:
+1.64%
30d:
-3.81%
90d:
+25.93%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
ā BUY SIGNAL: HLIO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
ā BUY SIGNAL: HLIO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$110.49
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.61
0.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLIO is currently trading at $68.33, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $63.87 to $71.07. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.4) is in line with its historical norms (22.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 307.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLIO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $69.18. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: HLIO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.50 (+16.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLIO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $69.18. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: HLIO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.50 (+16.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$63.87 -
$71.07
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($79.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$63.87 -
$71.07
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
Ā±$4.57
(6.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$62.05
Resistance Level
$69.18
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.35
Wall Street Target
$79.50
(+16.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
307.8%
Profit Margin
5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.4 vs 22.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$67.37
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$66.43
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$65.50
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21ā22)
$68.40
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 14.4%)
$106.95
(+57%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.4, Growth: 14.4%)
$102.18
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.2, Growth: 14.4%)
$86.86
(+27%)
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Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 43.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.45
Bull Case
$138.60
(+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 47.8
Base Case
$126.00
(+94%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 43.5
Bear Case
$42.84
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
š”
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.4 to 22.3
Stabilization Target:
$71.36
(+4.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 6:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLIO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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