HMC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HMC - Honda Motor Co., Ltd. American Depositary Share, each representing three (3) shares of Common Stock

Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies
$28.02
0.76 (2.79%) ▲
5d: +7.19%
30d: +5.82%
90d: +15.26%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HMC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 120.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HMC is currently trading at $28.02, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.14 to $27.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 574.2) compared to its historical average (53.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 120.7% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HMC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: HMC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.91 (+10.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $26.14 - $27.36
Company Quality Score 62/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 62.9%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($30.91)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 120.7% growth with 8.6% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $26.14 - $27.36
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $26.09
Resistance Level $28.25
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 574.18
Wall Street Target $30.91 (+10.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -41.2%
Profit Margin -1.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +120.7% premium
PE vs Historical 574.2 vs 53.4 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +120.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $42.03 (+50%)
2-Year Target $63.04 (+125%)
3-Year Target $94.57 (+238%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 574→53) PE COMPRESSION $8.79 (-69%)
Significant PE compression expected
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Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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