HON Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HON - Honeywell International, Inc.
$227.52
0.28 (0.12%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 29, 2026
0d
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2 traders called HON this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HON is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: HON is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$263.99
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$163.92
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HON is currently trading at $227.52, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $198.27 to $219.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.8) compared to its historical average (19.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HON is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $229.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HON has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HON is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $229.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HON has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$198.27 -
$219.93
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
HON is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($236.44)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$198.27 -
$219.93
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$214.20
Resistance Level
$229.59
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.81
Wall Street Target
$236.44
(+4.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
32.4%
Profit Margin
15.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.1% premium
PE vs Historical
21.8 vs 19.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$236.56
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$246.26
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$256.35
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$226.85
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 7.2%)
$286.57
(+26%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.2%)
$280.27
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 7.2%)
$238.23
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.48
Bull Case
$267.07
(+18%)
Analyst growth 9.9%, PE expands to 25.6
Base Case
$242.79
(+7%)
Market implied 9.9%, PE stable at 23.3
Bear Case
$150.22
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HON showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Julie Johnson
SELL
2025-09-25
Ro Khanna
SELL
2025-09-24
Sheldon Whitehouse
SELL
2025-09-04
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