HON Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HON - Honeywell International, Inc.
$223.12
-2.05 (-0.91%)
▼
5d:
+0.73%
30d:
-7.37%
90d:
+13.56%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
23d
Smart Money Accumulation
HON is down 3.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $260 2026-06-18 with 5,562 OI. Call ratio: 80% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HON shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HON shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$314.30
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$195.15
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HON is currently trading at $223.12, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $228.07 to $243.93. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.4) is in line with its historical norms (20.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HON is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $219.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $252.94 (+13.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HON is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $219.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $252.94 (+13.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$228.07 -
$243.93
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($252.94)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$228.07 -
$243.93
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$219.83
Resistance Level
$236.31
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.44
Wall Street Target
$252.94
(+13.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-76.4%
Profit Margin
12.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.4 vs 20.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$221.11
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$219.12
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$217.15
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→20)
$223.41
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 9.0%)
$332.50
(+49%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.4, Growth: 9.0%)
$288.55
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.5, Growth: 9.0%)
$245.27
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.93
Bull Case
$403.89
(+81%)
Analyst growth 65.8%, PE expands to 35.2
Base Case
$367.18
(+65%)
Market implied 65.8%, PE stable at 32.0
Bear Case
$150.62
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.4 to 20.0
Stabilization Target:
$229.56
(+2.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 7:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HON showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
D Scott Davis
SELL
2367 shares
2026-02-19
Robert D Mailloux
SELL
5274 shares
2026-02-06
Robert D Mailloux
SELL
10549 shares
2026-01-30
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