MMM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MMM - 3M Company
$145.12
-1.98 (-1.35%)
▼
5d:
+0.95%
30d:
-4.05%
90d:
-16.89%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 21, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.5/10
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1 traders called MMM this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MMM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MMM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$221.57
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$137.57
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MMM is currently trading at $145.12, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $143.33 to $150.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.3) compared to its historical average (17.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MMM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $141.39. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $175.03 (+20.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MMM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $141.39. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $175.03 (+20.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$143.33 -
$150.35
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.6% below Wall St target ($175.03)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$143.33 -
$150.35
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$141.39
Resistance Level
$149.76
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.35
Wall Street Target
$175.03
(+20.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.7%
Profit Margin
11.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.4 vs 17.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$139.90
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$134.86
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$130.00
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→17)
$145.65
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 8.8%)
$268.03
(+85%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 8.8%)
$186.71
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 8.8%)
$158.70
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.19
Bull Case
$294.70
(+103%)
Analyst growth 82.1%, PE expands to 31.2
Base Case
$267.91
(+85%)
Market implied 82.1%, PE stable at 28.3
Bear Case
$100.03
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.4 to 17.2
Stabilization Target:
$162.58
(+12.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 6:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:49 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is MMM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Tina Smith
SELL
2026-03-31
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Theresa E Reinseth
SELL
5145 shares
2026-02-11
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