MMM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MMM - 3M Company
$160.44
0.48 (0.30%)
▲
5d:
-4.48%
30d:
+4.93%
90d:
+10.46%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 17, 2026
13d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.3/10
Get Alerted When MMM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MMM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MMM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$220.22
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$136.74
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MMM is currently trading at $160.44, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $153.50 to $162.64. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.9) is in line with its historical norms (17.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MMM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $159.22. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MMM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $159.22. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$153.50 -
$162.64
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($171.02)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$153.50 -
$162.64
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$159.22
Resistance Level
$169.76
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.92
Wall Street Target
$171.02
(+6.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.7%
Profit Margin
11.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.9 vs 17.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$160.12
(0%)
2-Year Target
$159.80
(0%)
3-Year Target
$159.48
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→17)
$160.25
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.9%)
$266.50
(+66%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.9, Growth: 8.9%)
$207.01
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.4, Growth: 8.9%)
$175.96
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.18
Bull Case
$322.13
(+101%)
Analyst growth 83.1%, PE expands to 34.0
Base Case
$292.85
(+83%)
Market implied 83.1%, PE stable at 30.9
Bear Case
$108.77
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.9 to 17.0
Stabilization Target:
$161.22
(+0.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 4:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:53 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MMM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Tina Smith
SELL
2026-03-31
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Theresa E Reinseth
SELL
5145 shares
2026-02-11
Featured in Portfolios
MMM is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.
Top Rated Conglomerates Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Conglomerates by analyst ratings.
Advanced MMM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MMM price and gamma walls.
