VMI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VMI - Valmont Industries, Inc.
$515.58
1.95 (0.38%)
▲
5d:
+1.26%
30d:
+25.17%
90d:
+10.33%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 21, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VMI is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: VMI is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$695.83
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$432.06
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VMI is currently trading at $515.58, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $426.61 to $514.36. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.3) is in line with its historical norms (19.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VMI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $502.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VMI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $502.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$426.61 -
$514.36
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($527.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$426.61 -
$514.36
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$502.06
Resistance Level
$528.49
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.32
Wall Street Target
$527.00
(+2.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.5%
Profit Margin
8.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
20.3 vs 19.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$527.44
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$539.57
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$551.98
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$516.04
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 11.3%)
$771.00
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.3, Growth: 11.3%)
$710.94
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 11.3%)
$604.30
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $17.98
Bull Case
$797.18
(+55%)
Analyst growth 41.1%, PE expands to 31.4
Base Case
$724.71
(+41%)
Market implied 41.1%, PE stable at 28.6
Bear Case
$349.27
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 8:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VMI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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