VMI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VMI - Valmont Industries, Inc.
$555.35
-3.67 (-0.66%)
▼
5d:
-4.83%
30d:
+2.18%
90d:
+36.57%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VMI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VMI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$742.88
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$461.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VMI is currently trading at $555.35, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $528.42 to $569.09. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.6) compared to its historical average (19.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VMI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $548.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $611.25 (+10.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VMI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $548.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $611.25 (+10.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$528.42 -
$569.09
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($611.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$528.42 -
$569.09
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$505.06
Resistance Level
$548.90
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.63
Wall Street Target
$611.25
(+10.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.5%
Profit Margin
8.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
21.6 vs 19.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$574.79
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$594.90
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$615.73
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$555.18
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.5%)
$795.36
(+43%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.6, Growth: 12.5%)
$789.75
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.4, Growth: 12.5%)
$671.29
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $17.96
Bull Case
$879.21
(+58%)
Analyst growth 43.0%, PE expands to 34.2
Base Case
$799.29
(+44%)
Market implied 43.0%, PE stable at 31.1
Bear Case
$380.13
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 5:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VMI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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