HP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HP - Helmerich & Payne, Inc.
$33.88
0.18 (0.53%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.31
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.27
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HP is currently trading at $33.88, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.17 to $32.93. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 39.0) is in line with its historical norms (36.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$29.17 -
$32.93
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HP? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($31.73)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.5% growth with 45.8% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$29.17 -
$32.93
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.80
Resistance Level
$34.70
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
38.99
Wall Street Target
$31.73
(-6.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
45.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-98.8%
Profit Margin
-4.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.5% premium
PE vs Historical
39.0 vs 36.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.73
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$35.60
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$36.49
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 39→36)
PE COMPRESSION
$33.88
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 39.0, Growth: 87.1%)
$114.35
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 87.1%)
$65.40
(+93%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 87.1%)
$55.59
(+64%)
Last updated: February 01, 2026 11:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sara Marie Momper
SELL
6700 shares
2025-08-18
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HP price and gamma walls.
