HPQ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HPQ - HP Inc.
$18.86
-0.59 (-3.01%)
▼
5d:
+1.75%
30d:
-0.71%
90d:
-18.94%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 27, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
HPQ is up 4.3% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $18 2026-03-20 with 11,639 OI. Put ratio: 66% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HPQ shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HPQ shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.97
Based on 3.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.26
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HPQ is currently trading at $18.86, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.40 to $19.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.5) is in line with its historical norms (6.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPQ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $18.01, while resistance sits at $20.14. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: HPQ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPQ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $18.01, while resistance sits at $20.14. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: HPQ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$18.40 -
$19.18
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.0%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($19.43)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.2% growth with 6.9% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$18.40 -
$19.18
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.01
Resistance Level
$20.14
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.53
Wall Street Target
$19.43
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.7%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
6.5 vs 6.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.48
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$19.52
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$19.56
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$19.46
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 3.0%)
$72.83
(+275%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.5, Growth: 3.0%)
$21.24
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.6, Growth: 3.0%)
$18.06
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 6.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.64
Bull Case
$22.65
(+22%)
Analyst growth 12.7%, PE expands to 7.6
Base Case
$20.59
(+11%)
Market implied 12.7%, PE stable at 6.9
Bear Case
$12.42
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 3:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HPQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-06
Ketan M Patel
SELL
33321 shares
2025-12-26
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Advanced HPQ Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HPQ price and gamma walls.
