HRTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HRTX - Heron Therapeutics, Inc.

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$0.80
0.00 (0.42%) ▲
5d: +0.9%
30d: -30.13%
90d: -40.48%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HRTX trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.29
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.80
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HRTX is currently trading at $0.80, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $0.82 to $1.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.6) compared to its historical average (1.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HRTX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $0.74, while resistance sits at $0.87.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.33 (+439.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $0.82 - $1.13
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 439.3% below Wall St target ($4.33)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $0.82 - $1.13
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $0.74
Resistance Level $0.87
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Apr 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 1.58
Wall Street Target $4.33 (+439.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -0.5%
Profit Margin -13.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 1.6 vs 1.8 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $0.77 (-4%)
2-Year Target $0.74 (-8%)
3-Year Target $0.71 (-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 2→2) $0.81 (+1%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.6 to 1.8
Stabilization Target: $0.92 (+14.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +14.3%
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Last updated: April 02, 2026 4:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:18 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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