HRZN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HRZN - Horizon Technology Finance Corporation
$6.70
0.01 (0.15%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 03, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HRZN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HRZN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.48
Based on -2.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.40
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HRZN is currently trading at $6.70, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.39 to $6.70. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.5) is in line with its historical norms (6.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HRZN is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HRZN is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$6.39 -
$6.70
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($6.75)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$6.39 -
$6.70
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.54
Resistance Level
$6.74
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.49
Wall Street Target
$6.75
(+0.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
241.7%
Profit Margin
-24.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
6.5 vs 6.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.80
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$6.90
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$7.01
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→6)
PE COMPRESSION
$6.69
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -9.9%)
$16.83
(+151%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.5, Growth: -9.9%)
$4.90
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.5, Growth: -9.9%)
$4.16
(-38%)
Last updated: January 31, 2026 9:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HRZN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HRZN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HRZN price and gamma walls.
