HST Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HST - Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.
$19.14
0.04 (0.21%)
▲
5d:
-1.44%
30d:
-4.87%
90d:
+7.95%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
HST is down 4.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $18.85 2026-04-17 with 223 OI. Call ratio: 63% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HST shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HST shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.95
Based on -3.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.53
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HST is currently trading at $19.14, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.83 to $19.73. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.8) is in line with its historical norms (20.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 27.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HST is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $18.52, while resistance sits at $19.96.
Market Sentiment: HST has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.45 (+12.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HST is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $18.52, while resistance sits at $19.96.
Market Sentiment: HST has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.45 (+12.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$18.83 -
$19.73
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($21.45)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$18.83 -
$19.73
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.52
Resistance Level
$19.97
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.75
Wall Street Target
$21.45
(+12.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.1%
Profit Margin
12.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.8 vs 20.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.83
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$18.57
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$18.31
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→21)
$19.10
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: -10.1%)
$15.76
(+-18%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.7, Growth: -10.1%)
$13.92
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.8, Growth: -10.1%)
$11.84
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 16.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.10
Bull Case
$18.16
(-5%)
Analyst growth -11.3%, PE expands to 18.6
Base Case
$16.50
(-14%)
Market implied -11.3%, PE stable at 16.9
Bear Case
$12.65
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.7 to 20.6
Stabilization Target:
$19.92
(+4.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 5:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-01-09
Nathan S Tyrrell
SELL
9086 shares
2025-12-12
Nathan S Tyrrell
SELL
11954 shares
2025-12-11
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Advanced HST Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HST price and gamma walls.
