HST Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HST - Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.
$18.53
-0.13 (-0.70%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HST shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HST shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.96
Based on -4.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.29
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HST is currently trading at $18.53, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.14 to $18.65. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.5) is in line with its historical norms (20.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 96.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HST is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HST is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$18.14 -
$18.65
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($20.07)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$18.14 -
$18.65
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.15
Resistance Level
$19.30
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.52
Wall Street Target
$20.07
(+7.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
96.6%
Profit Margin
12.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.5 vs 20.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.59
(0%)
2-Year Target
$18.51
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$18.44
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→21)
$18.69
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -12.8%)
$14.78
(+-21%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.5, Growth: -12.8%)
$13.60
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.4, Growth: -12.8%)
$11.56
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 17.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.06
Bull Case
$17.40
(-6%)
Analyst growth -14.2%, PE expands to 19.1
Base Case
$15.82
(-15%)
Market implied -14.2%, PE stable at 17.4
Bear Case
$12.54
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.5 to 20.8
Stabilization Target:
$18.91
(+1.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.4%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HST price and gamma walls.
