HTHT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HTHT - H World Group Limited American Depositary Shares
$47.51
-1.48 (-3.02%)
▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 19, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HTHT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HTHT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$78.90
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.99
3.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HTHT is currently trading at $47.51, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.11 to $50.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 2.9) is in line with its historical norms (3.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 15.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HTHT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $47.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HTHT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $47.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$48.11 -
$50.18
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HTHT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.0%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($52.56)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.5% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$48.11 -
$50.18
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$47.32
Resistance Level
$50.91
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.94
Wall Street Target
$52.56
(+7.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.0%
Profit Margin
16.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.9 vs 3.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$48.79
(0%)
2-Year Target
$48.60
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$48.40
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→3)
$49.46
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 15.2%)
$569.54
(+1063%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.9, Growth: 15.2%)
$74.99
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.5, Growth: 15.2%)
$63.74
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (3x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.71
Bull Case
$107.47
(+126%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 31.4
Base Case
$97.70
(+106%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 28.6
Bear Case
$33.22
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.9 to 3.0
Stabilization Target:
$50.05
(+2.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.2%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HTHT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HTHT price and gamma walls.
