H Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

H - Hyatt Hotels Corporation

HOTELS & MOTELS
$168.78
-1.20 (-0.71%) ▼
5d: +0.7%
30d: +2.86%
90d: +2.05%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: H shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$230.11
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$142.88
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: H is currently trading at $168.78, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $156.33 to $170.07. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 35.7) is in line with its historical norms (39.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 110.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, H is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $171.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: H has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $186.48 (+10.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $156.33 - $170.07
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 73.8%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($186.48)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $156.33 - $170.07
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $158.62
Resistance Level $171.96
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 35.71
Wall Street Target $186.48 (+10.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 110.5%
Profit Margin -1.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 35.7 vs 39.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $163.72 (-3%)
2-Year Target $158.81 (-6%)
3-Year Target $154.04 (-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 36→39) $168.67 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 35.7, Growth: 35.6%) $420.89 (+149%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 35.6%) $260.14 (+54%)
Bear: (PE: 18.8, Growth: 35.6%) $221.12 (+31%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 35.7 to 39.1
Stabilization Target: $184.81 (+9.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +9.5%
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 10:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:08 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jnp 2010-Pg Trust SELL 213434 shares 2026-04-17
Kinsey Wolf SELL 400 shares 2026-03-23
Kinsey Wolf SELL 400 shares 2026-03-19

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