HVT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HVT - Haverty Furniture Companies, Inc.
$21.18
0.14 (0.67%)
▲
5d:
+2.37%
30d:
-8.59%
90d:
-10.71%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HVT trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -13.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HVT trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -13.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$61.93
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.45
44.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HVT is currently trading at $21.18, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.95 to $23.92. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.0) compared to its historical average (10.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HVT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $20.39, while resistance sits at $22.16.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+42.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HVT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $20.39, while resistance sits at $22.16.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+42.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$20.95 -
$23.92
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
31th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 31th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 42.6% below Wall St target ($30.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$20.95 -
$23.92
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.37
(6.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.39
Resistance Level
$22.16
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.01
Wall Street Target
$30.00
(+42.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.8%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.0 vs 10.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.94
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$17.04
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$15.34
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→11)
$23.18
(+10%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 60.0%)
$226.29
(+976%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.0, Growth: 60.0%)
$71.01
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.0, Growth: 60.0%)
$60.36
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.19
Bull Case
$45.76
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 19.2
Base Case
$41.60
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 17.5
Bear Case
$14.14
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.0 to 10.6
Stabilization Target:
$31.80
(+51.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+51.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 4:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:17 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:17 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HVT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rawson Haverty Jr
SELL
7500 shares
2025-12-12
Rawson Haverty Jr
SELL
2331 shares
2025-12-11
Rawson Haverty Jr
SELL
4523 shares
2025-11-19
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