HVT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HVT - Haverty Furniture Companies, Inc.
$25.32
-0.14 (-0.55%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 23, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HVT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HVT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.21
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.31
13.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HVT is currently trading at $25.32, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.18 to $26.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.1) is in line with its historical norms (11.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HVT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+18.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HVT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+18.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$24.18 -
$26.45
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($30.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.4% growth with 10.6% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$24.18 -
$26.45
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.46
(5.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.00
Resistance Level
$27.46
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.11
Wall Street Target
$30.00
(+18.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.4%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 11.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.67
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$26.03
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$26.40
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.28
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 81.0%)
$157.30
(+521%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 81.0%)
$85.45
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 81.0%)
$72.64
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.17
Bull Case
$49.56
(+96%)
Analyst growth 78.6%, PE expands to 23.7
Base Case
$45.05
(+78%)
Market implied 78.6%, PE stable at 21.6
Bear Case
$17.15
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 5:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HVT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rawson Haverty Jr
SELL
10003 shares
2025-09-17
Rawson Haverty Jr
SELL
14997 shares
2025-09-16
Rawson Haverty Jr
SELL
15000 shares
2025-08-27
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