LOW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LOW - Lowe's Companies Inc.
$227.50
5.58 (2.51%)
▲
5d:
+2.51%
30d:
+10.09%
90d:
-3.59%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 19, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LOW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LOW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$308.39
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$191.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LOW is currently trading at $227.50, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $211.01 to $222.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.6) is in line with its historical norms (18.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOW is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $220.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LOW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $263.73 (+15.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOW is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $220.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LOW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $263.73 (+15.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$211.01 -
$222.47
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LOW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($263.73)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$211.01 -
$222.47
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$203.40
Resistance Level
$220.34
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.58
Wall Street Target
$263.73
(+15.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-0.7%
Profit Margin
7.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.6 vs 18.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$222.27
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$217.16
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$212.16
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→19)
$228.06
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 5.5%)
$331.29
(+46%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.6, Growth: 5.5%)
$267.44
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.9, Growth: 5.5%)
$227.33
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.84
Bull Case
$266.77
(+17%)
Analyst growth 9.3%, PE expands to 20.6
Base Case
$242.52
(+7%)
Market implied 9.3%, PE stable at 18.7
Bear Case
$150.91
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.6 to 18.9
Stabilization Target:
$244.55
(+7.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 11:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LOW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
5
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-10
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