IBTA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IBTA - Ibotta, Inc.
$29.33
0.35 (1.21%)
▲
5d:
+3.75%
30d:
+17.46%
90d:
+32.06%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IBTA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: IBTA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.95
Based on 11.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.02
5.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IBTA is currently trading at $29.33, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.29 to $27.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.5) is in line with its historical norms (17.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBTA is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $29.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: IBTA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBTA is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $29.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: IBTA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$22.29 -
$27.82
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.4% above fair value)
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($27.86)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$22.29 -
$27.82
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.23
(11.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.51
Resistance Level
$29.89
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.48
Wall Street Target
$27.86
(-5.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-90.2%
Profit Margin
1.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.5 vs 17.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.24
(0%)
2-Year Target
$29.15
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$29.07
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→18)
$29.27
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 18.4%)
$62.25
(+112%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.5, Growth: 18.4%)
$48.68
(+66%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.9, Growth: 18.4%)
$41.38
(+41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 24.69 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.14
Bull Case
$34.14
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 25.9
Base Case
$28.27
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 24.7
Bear Case
$21.63
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 22.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.5 to 17.6
Stabilization Target:
$29.53
(+0.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 3:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IBTA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Marisa Daspit
SELL
2956 shares
2026-03-05
Marisa Daspit
SELL
10 shares
2025-12-05
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