IDCC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IDCC - InterDigital, Inc.
$294.69
-6.56 (-2.18%)
▼
5d:
-5.38%
30d:
-19.6%
90d:
-10.89%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IDCC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: IDCC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$457.18
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$283.87
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IDCC is currently trading at $294.69, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $323.03 to $374.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 26.4) compared to its historical average (31.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IDCC is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $295.03. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $462.67 (+53.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IDCC is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $295.03. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $462.67 (+53.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$323.03 -
$374.70
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 53.6% below Wall St target ($462.67)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.4% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$323.03 -
$374.70
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$21.58
(7.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$295.03
Resistance Level
$359.72
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.37
Wall Street Target
$462.67
(+53.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-37.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-70.5%
Profit Margin
48.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.4 vs 31.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$283.17
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$266.18
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$250.21
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→32)
$301.70
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.4, Growth: 15.9%)
$469.43
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 15.9%)
$398.71
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 15.9%)
$338.90
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.79
Bull Case
$347.09
(+11%)
Analyst growth -3.1%, PE expands to 30.4
Base Case
$315.54
(+1%)
Market implied -3.1%, PE stable at 27.6
Bear Case
$221.47
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.4 to 31.8
Stabilization Target:
$363.24
(+20.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 2:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IDCC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Joshua D Schmidt
SELL
6000 shares
2026-03-17
Rajesh Pankaj
SELL
1000 shares
2026-03-05
Joshua D Schmidt
SELL
467 shares
2026-02-27
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