IHG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IHG - InterContinental Hotels Group Plc
$137.24
-0.08 (-0.06%)
▼
5d:
-0.91%
30d:
-3.11%
90d:
+11.2%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 17, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: IHG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: IHG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$216.74
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$134.58
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IHG is currently trading at $137.24, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $136.31 to $140.44. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.7) is in line with its historical norms (23.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IHG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $134.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IHG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $134.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$136.31 -
$140.44
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($134.62)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$136.31 -
$140.44
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$134.11
Resistance Level
$140.59
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.71
Wall Street Target
$134.63
(-1.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
41.3%
Profit Margin
14.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
23.7 vs 23.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$137.38
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$137.51
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$137.65
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$137.60
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.7, Growth: 15.3%)
$210.41
(+53%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 15.3%)
$197.91
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 15.3%)
$168.22
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.72
Bull Case
$182.58
(+33%)
Analyst growth 22.6%, PE expands to 31.5
Base Case
$165.98
(+21%)
Market implied 22.6%, PE stable at 28.7
Bear Case
$92.03
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 02, 2026 8:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IHG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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