IIIV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IIIV - i3 Verticals, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$21.69
-0.27 (-1.25%)
▼
5d:
+7.96%
30d:
+7.91%
90d:
-3.43%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IIIV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IIIV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.89
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.05
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IIIV is currently trading at $21.69, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.63 to $20.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.1) is in line with its historical norms (18.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IIIV is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: IIIV has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.50 (+31.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IIIV is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: IIIV has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.50 (+31.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$19.63 -
$20.95
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.4% below Wall St target ($28.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.63 -
$20.95
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.17
Resistance Level
$21.29
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.05
Wall Street Target
$28.50
(+31.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-83.4%
Profit Margin
-2.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.1 vs 18.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.23
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$20.79
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$20.35
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→18)
$21.73
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.9%)
$38.80
(+79%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.0, Growth: 11.9%)
$30.37
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.5, Growth: 11.9%)
$25.81
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 19.16 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.13
Bull Case
$26.19
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 20.1
Base Case
$21.69
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 19.2
Bear Case
$16.59
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.0 to 18.2
Stabilization Target:
$23.16
(+6.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 12:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IIIV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Paul Christians
SELL
6122 shares
2026-03-06
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