IIIV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IIIV - i3 Verticals, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$18.69
-0.20 (-1.03%)
▼
5d:
-18.42%
30d:
-11.46%
90d:
-11.17%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IIIV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: IIIV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.08
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.16
11.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IIIV is currently trading at $18.69, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.38 to $22.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.9) compared to its historical average (18.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IIIV is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.47. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: IIIV has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.83 (+65.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IIIV is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.47. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: IIIV has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.83 (+65.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$20.38 -
$22.79
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 65.0% below Wall St target ($30.83)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-18.4%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.38 -
$22.79
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.47
Resistance Level
$24.11
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.93
Wall Street Target
$30.83
(+65.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-83.4%
Profit Margin
-2.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.9 vs 18.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.29
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$15.99
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$14.79
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→19)
$18.73
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 11.2%)
$37.93
(+103%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: 11.2%)
$25.69
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 11.2%)
$21.84
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 19.16 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.98
Bull Case
$22.57
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 20.1
Base Case
$18.69
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 19.2
Bear Case
$14.30
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.9 to 18.9
Stabilization Target:
$23.66
(+26.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 2:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IIIV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Paul Christians
SELL
6122 shares
2026-03-06
Paul Christians
SELL
9000 shares
2025-12-03
Paul Christians
SELL
3292 shares
2025-11-26
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