IMO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IMO - Imperial Oil Limited
$130.53
1.57 (1.22%)
▲
5d:
+2.12%
30d:
+9.01%
90d:
+51.23%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 01, 2026
28d
Get Alerted When IMO Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IMO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: IMO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$222.33
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$138.05
5.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IMO is currently trading at $130.53, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $118.03 to $128.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.0) compared to its historical average (14.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IMO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $133.37. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $94.09. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IMO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $133.37. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $94.09. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$118.03 -
$128.22
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 27.0% above Wall St target ($94.09)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.2% growth with -10.3% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$118.03 -
$128.22
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$5.67
(4.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$121.75
Resistance Level
$133.37
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.04
Wall Street Target
$94.09
(-27.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-58.0%
Profit Margin
7.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.2% premium
PE vs Historical
16.0 vs 14.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$134.38
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$140.02
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$145.90
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$129.17
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 93.9%)
$184.81
(+43%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.0, Growth: 93.9%)
$132.63
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.6, Growth: 93.9%)
$112.73
(-13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.72
Bull Case
$232.69
(+84%)
Analyst growth 67.1%, PE expands to 29.5
Base Case
$211.54
(+67%)
Market implied 67.1%, PE stable at 26.8
Bear Case
$86.09
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 3:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:52 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is IMO showing a specific setup today?
Top Rated Oil & Gas Integrated Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas Integrated by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
XOM
Exxon Mobil Corp |
BUY
28 analysts |
$152 | 65 BUY |
|
CVE
Cenovus Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$27 | 63 BUY |
|
CVX
Chevron Corp |
BUY
25 analysts |
$194 | 55 HOLD |
|
SHEL
Shell PLC ADR |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$86 | 58 HOLD |
|
SU
Suncor Energy Inc |
BUY
21 analysts |
$57 | 62 BUY |
