INFY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INFY - Infosys Limited American Depositary Shares
$11.66
-0.20 (-1.69%)
▼
5d:
-7.24%
30d:
-18.52%
90d:
-17.95%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: INFY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: INFY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.71
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.24
4.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INFY is currently trading at $11.66, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.24 to $13.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.8) compared to its historical average (17.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INFY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: INFY has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.68 (+25.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INFY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: INFY has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.68 (+25.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$12.24 -
$13.95
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.9% below Wall St target ($14.68)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.2%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.24 -
$13.95
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.56
Resistance Level
$12.84
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.83
Wall Street Target
$14.68
(+25.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.8 vs 17.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.81
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$10.02
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$9.29
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→17)
$11.68
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 8.2%)
$23.56
(+102%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.8, Growth: 8.2%)
$14.79
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.8, Growth: 8.2%)
$12.57
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.80
Bull Case
$13.74
(+18%)
Analyst growth 5.3%, PE expands to 16.3
Base Case
$12.49
(+7%)
Market implied 5.3%, PE stable at 14.8
Bear Case
$8.06
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.8 to 17.4
Stabilization Target:
$14.66
(+25.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+25.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 2:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:57 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is INFY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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