INGR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INGR - Ingredion Incorporated
$112.76
1.50 (1.35%)
▲
5d:
+0.84%
30d:
-0.81%
90d:
+2.27%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
Get Alerted When INGR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: INGR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: INGR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$147.60
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$91.65
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INGR is currently trading at $112.76, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $110.70 to $115.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.4) is in line with its historical norms (9.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 80.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INGR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $113.33. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: INGR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $127.43 (+13.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INGR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $113.33. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: INGR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $127.43 (+13.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$110.70 -
$115.46
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($127.43)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$110.70 -
$115.46
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$108.24
Resistance Level
$113.33
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.40
Wall Street Target
$127.43
(+13.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
80.1%
Profit Margin
10.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.4 vs 9.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$111.29
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$109.85
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$108.42
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$113.07
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 5.3%)
$288.27
(+156%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: 5.3%)
$131.68
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: 5.3%)
$111.93
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.18
Bull Case
$128.88
(+17%)
Analyst growth 7.3%, PE expands to 10.7
Base Case
$117.17
(+6%)
Market implied 7.3%, PE stable at 9.8
Bear Case
$74.23
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.4 to 9.8
Stabilization Target:
$117.60
(+4.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 6:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:29 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is INGR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James P Zallie
SELL
9958 shares
2026-02-18
Larry Fernandes
SELL
1125 shares
2026-02-18
James P Zallie
SELL
33597 shares
2026-02-11
Top Rated Packaged Foods Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Packaged Foods by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
FRPT
Freshpet Inc |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$87 | 52 HOLD |
|
DAR
Darling Ingredients Inc |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$62 | 60 BUY |
|
BRBR
Bellring Brands LLC |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$30 | 52 HOLD |
|
CPB
Campbell’s Co |
SELL
23 analysts |
$26 | 59 HOLD |
|
NOMD
Nomad Foods Ltd |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$14 | 60 HOLD |
