INGR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INGR - Ingredion Incorporated
$118.10
0.90 (0.77%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 03, 2026
2d
Get Alerted When INGR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: INGR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: INGR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$129.58
Based on 2.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$80.46
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INGR is currently trading at $118.10, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $111.04 to $116.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.3) is in line with its historical norms (9.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INGR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $118.33. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: INGR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (9th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INGR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $118.33. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: INGR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (9th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$111.04 -
$116.38
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
9th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 9th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($124.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.4% growth with -2.9% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$111.04 -
$116.38
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.55
(3.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$113.22
Resistance Level
$118.33
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.30
Wall Street Target
$124.33
(+6.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.8%
Profit Margin
9.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 9.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$118.84
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$120.50
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$122.19
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$117.41
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 1.7%)
$266.60
(+128%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 1.7%)
$123.18
(+5%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 1.7%)
$104.70
(-11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.03
Bull Case
$145.27
(+23%)
Analyst growth 13.4%, PE expands to 12.8
Base Case
$132.07
(+12%)
Market implied 13.4%, PE stable at 11.6
Bear Case
$79.19
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 7:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:21 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is INGR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jorge A Uribe
SELL
2025-09-30
Lisa C. McClain
BUY
2025-09-25
James P Zallie
SELL
36287 shares
2025-08-12
Top Rated Packaged Foods Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Packaged Foods by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
FRPT
Freshpet Inc |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$74 | 62 BUY |
|
DAR
Darling Ingredients Inc |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$48 | 57 HOLD |
|
BRBR
Bellring Brands LLC |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$37 | 52 HOLD |
|
CPB
Campbell’s Co |
SELL
23 analysts |
$32 | 64 BUY |
|
SJM
The J. M. Smucker Company |
HOLD
20 analysts |
$115 | 58 HOLD |
Advanced INGR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's INGR price and gamma walls.
