INTC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INTC - Intel Corp
$46.47
-2.19 (-4.50%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026
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79 traders called INTC this week
73% bullish • 32 bearish
73% bullish • 32 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: INTC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: INTC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.40
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.05
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INTC is currently trading at $46.47, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.96 to $48.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 48.9) compared to its historical average (64.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INTC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $42.27, while resistance sits at $54.60. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INTC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $42.27, while resistance sits at $54.60. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$37.96 -
$48.84
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding INTC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.5%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($46.62)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$37.96 -
$48.84
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.28
Resistance Level
$54.60
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
48.94
Wall Street Target
$46.62
(-4.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-71.7%
Profit Margin
-0.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
48.9 vs 64.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.43
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$40.56
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$37.03
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 49→64)
$48.73
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 48.9, Growth: 103.6%)
$164.23
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 103.6%)
$74.83
(+54%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 103.6%)
$63.60
(+31%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (81x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (49x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 80.65 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.56
Bull Case
$54.44
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 84.7
Base Case
$45.09
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 80.7
Bear Case
$34.49
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 72.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 48.9 to 64.4
Stabilization Target:
$64.03
(+31.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+31.6%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is INTC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
2
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
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2025-08-22
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