INTU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INTU - Intuit Inc
$423.16
6.72 (1.61%)
▲
5d:
-7.41%
30d:
+3.45%
90d:
-37.45%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 21, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
INTU is down 5.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $480 2026-04-17 with 1,997 OI. Call ratio: 71% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: INTU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: INTU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$853.26
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$529.81
20.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INTU is currently trading at $423.16, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $391.97 to $459.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.7) compared to its historical average (21.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INTU is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $409.50, while resistance sits at $474.77.
Market Sentiment: INTU has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $603.49 (+44.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INTU is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $409.50, while resistance sits at $474.77.
Market Sentiment: INTU has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $603.49 (+44.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$391.97 -
$459.89
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding INTU? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 44.9% below Wall St target ($603.49)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.4%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$391.97 -
$459.89
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$409.50
Resistance Level
$474.77
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.73
Wall Street Target
$603.49
(+44.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
41.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.5%
Profit Margin
21.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.7 vs 21.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$378.13
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$343.34
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$311.75
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→21)
$416.24
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 14.0%)
$878.79
(+111%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.7, Growth: 14.0%)
$617.05
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.4, Growth: 14.0%)
$524.49
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.35
Bull Case
$864.33
(+89%)
Analyst growth 72.5%, PE expands to 32.7
Base Case
$785.75
(+72%)
Market implied 72.5%, PE stable at 29.7
Bear Case
$309.78
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.7 to 21.0
Stabilization Target:
$556.02
(+33.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+33.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is INTU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
14
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard L Dalzell
SELL
333 shares
2026-03-12
Richard L Dalzell
SELL
333 shares
2026-03-10
Markwayne Mullin
SELL
2026-02-25
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Advanced INTU Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's INTU price and gamma walls.
