INTU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

INTU - Intuit Inc

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$498.92
-4.06 (-0.81%) β–Ό
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026 22d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: INTU is down 11.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1014.65
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$630.02
20.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: INTU is currently trading at $498.92, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $542.92 to $663.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.9) compared to its historical average (25.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, INTU is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $491.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $787.76 (+57.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $542.92 - $663.61
Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 57.9% below Wall St target ($787.76)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.5% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $542.92 - $663.61
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $491.72
Resistance Level $569.38
Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.86
Wall Street Target $787.76 (+57.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 41.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -18.5%
Profit Margin 21.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -9.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 18.9 vs 25.6 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -9.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $450.52 (-10%)
2-Year Target $406.82 (-19%)
3-Year Target $367.36 (-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19β†’26) $498.53 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 14.0%) $872.96 (+75%)
Base: (SPY PE: 18.9, Growth: 14.0%) $738.47 (+48%)
Bear: (PE: 16.0, Growth: 14.0%) $627.70 (+26%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.56
Bull Case $1076.40 (+116%)
Analyst growth 81.6%, PE expands to 40.7
Base Case $978.55 (+96%)
Market implied 81.6%, PE stable at 37.0
Bear Case $366.32 (-27%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.9 to 25.6
Stabilization Target: $677.06 (+35.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +35.7%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 9:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:16 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sandeep Aujla SELL 1170 shares 2025-10-03
Markwayne Mullin BUY 2025-09-24
Richard L Dalzell SELL 333 shares 2025-09-11

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Advanced INTU Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's INTU price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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