CDNS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CDNS - Cadence Design Systems

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$352.84
-1.71 (-0.48%) ▼
5d: -1.14%
30d: +16.03%
90d: +22.37%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your CDNS Gains
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 27, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

CDNS is up 5.7% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $300 2026-06-18 with 13,176 OI. Put ratio: 65% View Scanner →

Strength: 9.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CDNS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$456.69
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$283.57
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CDNS is currently trading at $352.84, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $295.08 to $352.53. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 37.6) compared to its historical average (44.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 23.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CDNS is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $334.00, while resistance sits at $365.01.

Market Sentiment: CDNS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $295.08 - $352.53
Company Quality Score 64/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($379.55)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $295.08 - $352.53
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $334.00
Resistance Level $365.01
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 37.61
Wall Street Target $379.55 (+7.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 18.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 23.0%
Profit Margin 21.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 37.6 vs 44.7 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $333.08 (-6%)
2-Year Target $314.43 (-11%)
3-Year Target $296.82 (-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 38→45) $352.74 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 37.6, Growth: 108.7%) $1190.83 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 108.7%) $697.78 (+98%)
Bear: (PE: 18.7, Growth: 108.7%) $593.12 (+68%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (46x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (38x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 45.87 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.69
Bull Case $426.05 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 48.2
Base Case $352.84 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 45.9
Bear Case $269.92 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 41.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 37.6 to 44.7
Stabilization Target: $419.32 (+18.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +18.8%
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Last updated: May 14, 2026 6:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:49 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
15
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John M Wall SELL 21500 shares 2026-04-16
Paul Cunningham SELL 1000 shares 2026-04-01
Ita M Brennan SELL 180 shares 2026-03-17

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Advanced CDNS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CDNS price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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