IPAR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IPAR - Interparfums, Inc. Common Stock
$98.14
0.57 (0.58%)
▲
5d:
-0.15%
30d:
+15.69%
90d:
+9.76%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IPAR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IPAR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$87.80
Based on -0.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.52
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IPAR is currently trading at $98.14, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.93 to $95.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.9) is in line with its historical norms (18.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IPAR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $100.13. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: IPAR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IPAR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $100.13. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: IPAR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$85.93 -
$95.76
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($107.40)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$85.93 -
$95.76
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.39
(4.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$88.73
Resistance Level
$100.13
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.94
Wall Street Target
$107.40
(+9.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.2%
Profit Margin
11.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.0% premium
PE vs Historical
19.9 vs 18.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$101.08
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$104.12
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$107.24
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$97.87
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -4.7%)
$94.97
(+-3%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -4.7%)
$84.93
(-14%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.0, Growth: -4.7%)
$72.19
(-26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 19.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.13
Bull Case
$102.96
(+5%)
Analyst growth -4.1%, PE expands to 20.9
Base Case
$93.60
(-5%)
Market implied -4.1%, PE stable at 19.0
Bear Case
$66.35
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 03, 2026 1:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IPAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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