ITT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ITT - ITT Inc.

PUMPS & PUMPING EQUIPMENT
$194.37
0.27 (0.14%) ▲
5d: +7.37%
30d: +4.73%
90d: +8.34%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026 29d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ITT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$334.11
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$207.45
6.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ITT is currently trading at $194.37, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $185.19 to $195.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.1) is in line with its historical norms (23.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ITT is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $196.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: ITT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $234.17 (+20.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range $185.19 - $195.02
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 76.2%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 20.6% below Wall St target ($234.17)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $185.19 - $195.02
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $180.10
Resistance Level $196.56
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Apr 7, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.13
Wall Street Target $234.17 (+20.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 13.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 6.1%
Profit Margin 12.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 22.1 vs 23.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $189.25 (-3%)
2-Year Target $184.52 (-5%)
3-Year Target $179.90 (-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 22→24) $194.29 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 15.7%) $301.00 (+55%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 15.7%) $279.77 (+44%)
Bear: (PE: 17.5, Growth: 15.7%) $237.81 (+23%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.10
Bull Case $273.39 (+45%)
Analyst growth 36.0%, PE expands to 32.9
Base Case $248.53 (+32%)
Market implied 36.0%, PE stable at 30.0
Bear Case $124.23 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.1 to 23.9
Stabilization Target: $209.62 (+8.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +8.0%
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Last updated: April 07, 2026 1:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:44 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Luca Savi SELL 63450 shares 2026-03-05
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. BUY 2025-12-11
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. SELL 2025-11-06

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